Friday, June 24, 2011

Estimasi Probabilitas Default Perusahaan dan Hubungannya dengan Rasio Keuangan

Pengarang :
Pananda Pasaribu; Wilson R.L. Tobing; Adler Haymans Manurung
Sumber :
Jurnal keuangan dan perbankan Perbanas Jakarta
Penerbit :
Institut Keuangan Perbankan dan Informatika Asia Perbanas ; Perhimpunan Bank Umum Nasional
Tahun Terbit Artikel:
2009
Volume :
11
No :
1
Halaman :
50-60
Kata Kunci :
Ratio analysis; Corporations
Sari :
Abstrak :
Default probability information is very important for investor and creditor. By using Mertons Model the result show some large company have high default probability, especially Bakrie and Brothers subsidiaries. The result panel regression shows that liquidity ratio (cash to current asset ratio) and solvency ratio (debt to asset ratio) are the most important ratio to explain default probability. Profitability ratio (net profit margin ratio) also can be good measure to predict Mertons default probability. This result shows that accounting information is still useful for investor and creditor to predict credit default.

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